Sponsorship

Do you actually know what your biggest sponsorship is worth?

Sam Cherry

Sam Cherry

Founder

,

2403 Group

9

minutes to read

Share on LinkedIn
Share on WhatsApp
Copy link

KEY TAKEAWAY

If your fee started life as last year's invoice, it's probably the wrong number, and it could be wrong in either direction. Value each package from audience, exposure, rights and activation, starting with a proper understanding of your fans, link it to what the brand has to show its own board, and check it against the market every month.

Ask a commercial team how they valued their biggest partnership and you'll usually get a short answer. They took last year's invoice, added a bit for inflation and braced themselves for the discount request. I understand the appeal, because nobody ever got into trouble for renewing at last year's number. But it rarely reflects what the deal is actually worth. Some packages are worth a lot more than the figure on the renewal, and others ask so much that the brand has quietly started looking elsewhere.

Meanwhile, the people on the other side of the table have changed how they work. Brands now arrive with valuation frameworks, benchmarks and much sharper questions about return. If you're still setting fees from habit, you're walking into that meeting knowing less than your partner does. The good news is that this is very fixable, and the numbers below show why it's worth the effort.

8.7%

rise in operating profit from charging 1% more, if volume holds

McKinsey, 2026

63%

of brands say their property partners don't fully understand their objectives

Two Circles, 2025

81%

of rights holders say data analysis plays only a moderate or minimal part in sponsorship decisions

KORE, 2024

Where most sponsorship fees really come from

Most rights holders set the fee by rolling forward. Last year's invoice becomes the anchor, inflation goes on top if the team is lucky, and a discount comes off when the brand pushes back. The trouble is that the anchor was rarely a valuation, just a number someone agreed years ago and carried forward. KORE found 81% of rights holders say data analysis plays only a moderate or minimal part in their sponsorship and activation decisions.

Brands have been heading the other way. The WFA's 2025 study of more than 40 brand owners, representing $8.2bn of sponsorship investment, found that valuation frameworks driven by media value or benchmarking are increasingly common. Undervalue a package and you leave money on the table every season; overvalue it and you lose the brand at renewal, often without being told why. And the two sides aren't hearing each other: Two Circles found 63% of brands say their property partners don't fully understand their objectives, and 75% of properties say the same about the brands they work with.

Why a 1% change matters so much

Getting the value right is the most powerful lever most rights holders never pull. McKinsey found that charging 1% more translates into an 8.7% increase in operating profit, assuming you don't lose volume. It works in reverse too. McKinsey's classic analysis showed that to make up for a 5% discount, volumes would have to rise by 18.7% just to stand still on profit. So every reflex discount is really a decision to work harder for less.

If the renewal is last year's number plus a bit, the brand assumes you haven't measured anything since.

The money is there. Two Circles estimates brands spent $250bn of their sponsorship and media budgets reaching audiences through sport. Sponsorship's share has fallen from 29% ten years ago to 19% today, and Two Circles expects a $30bn swing in annual spend from media into sponsorship. The WFA found brands now put 11% of their marketing budgets into sponsorship, and the share expecting cuts over the next two to three years has nearly halved, from 31% to 17%. Brands are feeling confident again; the question is whether your valuation reflects it.

What a sponsorship is really worth

A valuation you can defend has four parts. Audience comes first: who your fans are, how many and how engaged. It's also the part many rights holders undersell, because they can't describe their fans in any detail, and brands pay more for people they understand than for a crowd figure. Then exposure, meaning where the brand is seen and how often, across broadcast, digital and the venue. Then rights: the exclusivity, designations, IP and hospitality only you can grant. And activation: the content, data and fan access that turn a logo into results. Value each part, compare it with the market, then decide where to land.

Do it more than once a year, because the market moves faster than an annual review. Ampere Analysis found clubs in Europe's top five leagues had signed more than $1.1bn in new and renewed deals only three months into the 2025/26 season. A valuation set once a year can be out of date before it reaches the brand.

Worth pausing on

If your biggest partner rang tomorrow and asked you to justify their fee line by line, could you? And would your answer be anything more than 'it's what you paid last year'?

Three Key Steps

Start with evidence, connect it to what the brand needs, then keep it current.

1

Value every asset from scratch

Break each package down into audience, exposure, rights and activation, and put a number on each using what you know about your fans, your own data and market benchmarks rather than last year's invoice. Brands increasingly use valuation frameworks built on media value or benchmarking, so it pays to walk in with one of your own. If you can't defend a line, rework it or drop it.

2

Value it against the brand's goal

Before you put a number on anything, ask what the partner actually needs to achieve. Two Circles found 63% of brands feel their property partners don't fully understand their objectives. Tie the value to the outcome the brand will report internally. A package valued against a business goal is much harder to cut than one valued against a logo count.

3

Check the market every month

Keep track of who's signing, in which categories and at what level. Ampere found companies new to European football since 2021/22 accounted for 53% of deals signed in the first months of 2025/26. New entrants reset benchmarks quickly, and a monthly view keeps both your valuations and your pipeline up to date.

The anchor was rarely a valuation, just a number someone agreed years ago and carried forward.

"

In a market growing this fast, old valuations age quickly

The Gulf is one of the fastest-growing sports markets in the world, and that makes an out-of-date valuation even more expensive here. PwC expects the Middle East sports market to grow at 8.7% over the next three to five years, ahead of a global average of 7.3%. When a market moves that quickly, last year's invoice is out of date before anyone signs it.

The other risk is concentration. One estimate puts Saudi Pro League sponsorship revenue for 2024/25 at $54.53m, with Saudi-based brands dominating and seven deals accounting for around 86% of annual deal value. When that much depends on so few partners, every renewal is a valuation call with a big downside. The rights holders who can show their worth with evidence, starting with a clear picture of who their fans are, are the ones best placed to hold their ground and bring in new names.

It isn't only football, either. The same goes for festivals, venues and cultural districts across the region, and for rights holders in Asia and Africa. Global brands now arrive with valuation frameworks of their own, so a number built on audience, exposure, rights and activation speaks a language they already use. A number built on habit is the first thing their procurement team will pick apart.

Five questions to put to your team before the next renewal

Work through these with your commercial team before the next renewal conversation starts.

When did we last value our main packages from scratch, rather than starting from last year's invoice?

Could we show each partner exactly what their deal gives them, line by line?

What did last season's discounts cost us, and what did we get back for them?

Do we know which brands are new to our sport, region or category this month?

Would our partners say we understand what they're trying to achieve?

Accelerator: Get More Sponsors

Accelerator: Get More Sponsors

Find out what your inventory is really worth

Find out what your inventory is really worth

A quick, fixed-fee review of your packages and pipeline. You'll get a valuation of your key assets, the value gaps worth closing and a roadmap to more sponsors.

A quick, fixed-fee review of your packages and pipeline. You'll get a valuation of your key assets, the value gaps worth closing and a roadmap to more sponsors.

From 5,000 AED

Timeline

Findings within weeks

Valuing a sponsorship isn't really a spreadsheet exercise. It's the clearest signal you send a partner about how well you know your own audience and what it's worth to them. When there's real insight into your fans behind the number, renewals get smoother, discounts get rarer and new categories become a lot easier to open.

If you're not sure what your inventory is really worth, an independent view is a good place to start. Our Get More Sponsors Accelerator values your packages against the market and gives you a valuation and pipeline roadmap within weeks.

Written by

Written by

Sam Cherry

Sam Cherry

Founder

,

2403 Group

Having worked for and advised some of the leading rights holders on the planet, I wanted to create a more caring and collaborative approach to sponsorship and putting that together with leading digital capability and skill. That’s why I’ve created 2403 Group.

Having worked for and advised some of the leading rights holders on the planet, I wanted to create a more caring and collaborative approach to sponsorship and putting that together with leading digital capability and skill. That’s why I’ve created 2403 Group.

Keep Reading

Cover Image

Activation

9

min read

Signing the sponsor is the easy part

Cover Image

Fans & Content

8

min read

Women's sport has the audience. Do you have the content?

Cover Image

Data & Insights

8

min read

Who are your fans, really? Your sponsors want to know

Cover Image

AI

8

min read

Your sellers spend most of their week not selling. AI can change that

Cover Image

Innovation

8

min read

Why sport innovation programmes stall after demo day

Cover Image

Sponsorship

9

min read

Your next sponsor might be in a category you haven't sold yet

Cover Image

Activation

8

min read

The fan games sponsors will actually pay for

Cover Image

Fans & Content

8

min read

Fans don't wait for match day. Neither should your content

Cover Image

Data & Insights

8

min read

Your ticketing system knows your fans better than you do

Cover Image

AI

8

min read

You don't need a big league's budget to publish like one

Cover Image

Innovation

8

min read

Show it to fans before you spend a season building it

Cover Image

Sponsorship

8

min read

Most sponsors decide whether to renew long before you ask them

Cover Image

Activation

8

min read

NFTs crashed. Some digital collectibles are still worth doing

Cover Image

Fans & Content

8

min read

What sport and culture can learn from music's superfans

Cover Image

Data & Insights

8

min read

Your match data has buyers. Are you giving it away?

Cover Image

AI

8

min read

The tech behind World Cup offside calls is coming to every level of the game

Cover Image

Innovation

9

min read

Where rights holders fit in the Gulf's sports tech boom

Cover Image

Sponsorship

8

min read

Who's actually sponsoring in the Gulf, and what they're buying

Cover Image

Activation

8

min read

Why your fan zone shouldn't close after the final

Cover Image

Fans & Content

8

min read

Arabic-speaking fans want more. Most rights holders are still translating

Cover Image

Data & Insights

8

min read

You have the data. Do you have anyone to read it?

Cover Image

AI

9

min read

The IOC wrote its AI rules first. You should too

Cover Image

Innovation

8

min read

Millions are visiting the Gulf's museums. Where are the sponsors?

Cover Image

Sponsorship

8

min read

Sport takes 71% of sponsorship money. Culture is missing a trick

""